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| #214174 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 AM 06.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 1500 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008 AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA INCLUDING THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GRANMA...CAMAGUEY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 68.8W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 34 KT.......110NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 150SE 90SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 68.8W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 67.8W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.4N 70.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.2N 72.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.2N 75.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.5N 77.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.0N 81.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 24.5N 84.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 26.0N 86.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 68.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME |
