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| #214266 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 PM 06.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 2100 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008 AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND HOLGUIN. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS... CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BOARDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY. ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 69.7W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 70SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 120SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 90SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 69.7W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 69.1W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.2N 71.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 55SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.1N 74.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.2N 76.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.7N 78.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.0N 82.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 25.0N 85.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 26.5N 87.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 69.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN |
