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| #214458 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:32 AM 07.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 1500 UTC SUN SEP 07 2008 AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING WESTWARD TO INCLUDE THE PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND CIENFUEGOS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA... HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA...CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA....VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND CIENFUEGOS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...LA HABANA...AND CIUDAD DE HABANA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC IS DISCONTINUED. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS... CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BOARDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS. ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...AND SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 73.4W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 120SE 90SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 73.4W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 72.8W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.9N 75.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.4N 77.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.2N 79.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.0N 81.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.5N 85.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 26.0N 87.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 27.0N 90.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 73.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN |
