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| #214855 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 AM 09.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 0900 UTC TUE SEP 09 2008 AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNINGS EAST OF THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN. INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 82.1W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 30SW 90NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 82.1W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 81.5W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.7N 83.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 30SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.5N 85.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.2N 86.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 25.0N 88.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 25.5N 93.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 27.0N 97.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 28.0N 100.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 82.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
