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| #216378 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 PM 13.Sep.2008) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 52 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 1000 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ...IKE STILL A TROPICAL STORM AS IT HEADS INTO ARKANSAS... AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.9 WEST...ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...NORTH OF TEXARKANA...AND ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI ON SUNDAY MORNING...AND OVER THE MIDWESTERN STATES LATER ON SUNDAY AS IKE LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS IKE MOVES FARTHER INLAND...AND IT IS EXPECTED BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY ON SUNDAY. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BY MONDAY AFTER IKE LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS IKE MOVES FARTHER INLAND. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...WESTERN ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...NORTHERN INDIANA...AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY IN NORTHERN LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI. REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...34.3 N...93.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
