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#219384 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 29.Sep.2008) TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008 2100 UTC MON SEP 29 2008 SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 48.4W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......210NE 210SE 150SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 400SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 48.4W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 48.2W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 39.3N 48.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 41.2N 48.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 43.6N 47.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 46.5N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 52.5N 41.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 55.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 55.0N 12.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N 48.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG/PASCH |