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| #219454 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 30.Sep.2008) TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008 0900 UTC TUE SEP 30 2008 SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.3N 49.0W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......175NE 190SE 150SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 400SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.3N 49.0W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.8N 48.9W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 42.0N 48.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 190SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 44.6N 47.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 47.5N 46.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 50.6N 44.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...240NE 210SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 55.0N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...375NE 325SE 200SW 350NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 56.0N 25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 56.0N 10.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.3N 49.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
