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| #221729 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 PM 12.Oct.2008) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM NANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142008 2100 UTC SUN OCT 12 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 37.9W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 37.9W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 37.7W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.7N 39.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.0N 40.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.4N 41.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.9N 43.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.0N 46.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 37.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
