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| #222131 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 14.Oct.2008) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008 2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2008 AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENTS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA...AND FRANCE...HAVE ALSO ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ISLANDS OF ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS... ST. MAARTEN...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. BARTHELEMY. AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLAND OF MONTSERRAT. AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 68.5W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 80SE 40SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 90SE 50SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 68.5W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 68.9W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.6N 68.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 0NW. 50 KT... 35NE 45SE 25SW 15NW. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.9N 66.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N 64.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 30SE 15SW 10NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 35SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.6N 62.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 26.0N 58.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 31.1N 55.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 38.0N 49.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 68.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
