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| #222225 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 AM 15.Oct.2008) TCMAT5 HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008 0900 UTC WED OCT 15 2008 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN... SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND MONTSERRAT. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 67.7W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 50SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 67.7W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 68.0W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.8N 66.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 15NW. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N 64.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 100SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.8N 62.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 75SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.8N 60.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 75SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 29.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 75SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 35.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 43.0N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 67.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
