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| #222324 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 15.Oct.2008) TCMAT5 HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008 2100 UTC WED OCT 15 2008 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN... SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND ANGUILLA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...AND ALSO FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE..WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND MONTSERRAT. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 66.1W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 100SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 66.1W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 66.6W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.6N 64.8W...NRN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.4N 62.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.2N 60.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 26.1N 59.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 31.7N 54.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 39.0N 44.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 48.0N 27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 66.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
