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| #222384 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:58 PM 15.Oct.2008) TCMAT5 HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008 0300 UTC THU OCT 16 2008 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND ANGUILLA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...AND ALSO FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE..WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND MONTSERRAT. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 64.5W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 100SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 64.5W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 65.2W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.4N 63.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.2N 61.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.0N 59.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 27.6N 57.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 45NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.0N 53.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 41.0N 41.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 47.0N 25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 64.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
