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| #222484 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 AM 16.Oct.2008) TCMAT5 HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008 1500 UTC THU OCT 16 2008 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 61.3W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 45SE 30SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 75SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 75SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 61.3W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 61.9W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.5N 59.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 45SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 75SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 75SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 28.0N 56.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 75SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 31.3N 54.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 75SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 33.4N 51.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 75SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 38.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N 34.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 40.0N 23.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 61.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART |
