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| #225892 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:34 AM 06.Nov.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PALOMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008 0900 UTC THU NOV 06 2008 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO LIMON HONDURAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24-36 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA. WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 82.2W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 82.2W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 82.1W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.8N 82.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.6N 82.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.5N 83.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.5N 82.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.0N 81.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 85NE 85SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 22.0N 78.0W...INLAND OVER CUBA MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 25.0N 73.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 82.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
