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| #226364 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:00 PM 08.Nov.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE PALOMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008 700 PM EST SAT NOV 08 2008 ...MAJOR HURRICANE PALOMA MAKES LANDFALL NEAR SANTA CRUZ DEL SUR CUBA... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA AND HOLGUIN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 7 PM EST...0000 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...SAN SALVADOR...ACKLINS ISLAND...CROOKED ISLAND AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 700 PM EST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE PALOMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST OR JUST EAST OF SANTA CRUZ DEL SUR CUBA...AND ABOUT 45 MILES...70 KM...SOUTH OF CAMAGUEY CUBA. PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS PALOMA MOVES ACROSS CUBA. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO BE APPROACHING THE ATLANTIC COAST OF EAST-CENTRAL CUBA SUNDAY MORNING...AND BE NEARING THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS LATE SUNDAY OR ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. PALOMA IS AN DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...ESPECIALLY AS PALOMA MOVES ACROSS CUBA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 968 MB...28.58 INCHES. POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 15 TO 20 FEET... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF SANTA CRUZ DEL SUR ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT. PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. FIVE TO TEN INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS JAMAICA AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC. REPEATING THE 700 PM EST POSITION...20.8 N...77.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM EST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
