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| #226420 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:55 AM 09.Nov.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE PALOMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008 0900 UTC SUN NOV 09 2008 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA AND HOLGUIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...SAN SALVADOR...ACKLINS ISLAND...CROOKED ISLAND AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 77.4W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 25SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 120SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 77.4W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 77.6W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.6N 77.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 22.2N 76.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.7N 76.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.0N 76.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 23.0N 76.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 77.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
