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| #25390 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:50 AM 09.Jun.2005) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ARLENE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM EDT THU JUN 09 2005 ...SHIP REPORT INDICATES TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE HAS BECOME TROPICAL STORM ARLENE...THE FIRST TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2005 SEASON... AT 8 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING EASTWARD TO INCLUDE THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM PINAR DEL RIO TO HAVANA PROVINCE...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 185 MILES... 295 KM...WEST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 190 MILES... 305 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT. A REPORT FROM A SHIP BETWEEN THE CENTER OF ARLENE AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS INDICATES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES ...240 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY SQUALLS...IS SPREADING ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AS WELL AS CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS IN ASSOCIATION WITH ARLENE. MOISTURE FLOWING FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO ARLENE IS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...PARTICULARLY NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...19.1 N... 84.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER BEVEN |
