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| #25438 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:40 PM 09.Jun.2005) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT THU JUN 09 2005 ...ARLENE REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...SQUALLS ALREADY APPROACHING THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND WESTERN CUBA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES... 245 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. ARLENE HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. HOWEVER MOST OF THE WEATHER WILL ARRIVE WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER. DATA FROM RECENTLY INSTALLED NOAA BUOY...NUMBER 42056...NEAR THE CENTER OF ARLENE INDICATE THAT THE INTENSITY OF THE CYCLONE HAS CHANGED LITTLE...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE PLANE WILL CHECK ARLENE LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY SQUALLS...IS SPREADING ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AS WELL AS CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA AND INTO THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA KEYS. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS IN ASSOCIATION WITH ARLENE....MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...19.8 N... 84.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB |
