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| #26049 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 PM 11.Jun.2005) TCDAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARLENE DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2005 ARLENE HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AS THE CYCLONE MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER WEST-CENTRAL ALABAMA...EVEN THOUGH THE SATELLITE AND RADAR SIGNATURES HAVE IMPROVED. IN FACT...ARLENE LOOKS BETTER NOW THAN IT DID OVER WATER DURING MOST OF ITS LIFETIME. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KT IS BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR VELOCITY DATA AND SURROUNDING SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AND ARLENE COULD EVEN DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING WILL STILL BE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT. ARLENE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS THE CYCLONE IS STEERED AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A STRONG DEEP-LAYER RIDGE CENTERED NEAR THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA. THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ON ARLENE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT31 KWNH... BEGINNING AT 4 AM CDT...SUNDAY. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0300Z 32.2N 87.6W 25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 12HR VT 12/1200Z 34.5N 87.6W 20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 24HR VT 13/0000Z 37.9N 87.2W 15 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 36HR VT 13/1200ZT...DISSIPATED INLAND |
