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| #287441 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 11.Aug.2009) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009 2100 UTC TUE AUG 11 2009 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 30.4W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 30.4W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 29.9W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.7N 32.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.7N 34.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 14.8N 36.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.0N 39.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.0N 44.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 18.0N 49.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 21.0N 54.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 30.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
