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| #287521 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 11.Aug.2009) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009 0300 UTC WED AUG 12 2009 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 31.5W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 31.5W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 31.1W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 14.8N 33.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 14.8N 35.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.9N 37.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.2N 40.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.5N 45.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 19.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 22.0N 56.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 31.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN/COHEN |
