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#288717 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 16.Aug.2009) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009 1100 AM AST SUN AUG 16 2009 ...ANA CONTINUES WESTWARD...AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE TO INVESTIGATE THIS AFTERNOON... AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT... ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN... SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.8 WEST OR ABOUT 430 MILES...690 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. ANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR. IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ON THIS TRACK ANA SHOULD REACH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS BY EARLY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. ANA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...INCLUDING PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION... LOCATION...14.8N 55.8W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 23 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS |