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#288794 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 16.Aug.2009)
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009
2100 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 40.0W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 45SE 0SW 45NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 75SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 40.0W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 39.2W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.4N 42.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.2N 45.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.0N 47.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.0N 50.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.5N 55.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 22.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 26.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 40.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE