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| #288796 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 16.Aug.2009) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009 500 PM AST SUN AUG 16 2009 ...ANA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO CABO BEATA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT... ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST.KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST.MAARTEN...ST. MARTIN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...GUADELOUPE...AND ST. BARTHELEMY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT... ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST.KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST.MAARTEN...ST. MARTIN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...GUADELOUPE...AND ST. BARTHELEMY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.8 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES...270 KM...EAST OF DOMINICA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. ON THIS TRACK THE DEPRESSION WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND ENTER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT SHOWS THAT THE CIRCULATION OF ANA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED TODAY. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...ANA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE TONIGHT. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. ANA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...INCLUDING PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION... LOCATION...15.1N 58.8W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 23 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS |
