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| #288797 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 16.Aug.2009) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009 2100 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009 AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO CABO BEATA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT... ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST.KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST.MAARTEN...ST. MARTIN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...GUADELOUPE...AND ST. BARTHELEMY. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS LATER TODAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 58.8W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 58.8W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 57.8W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.7N 62.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.7N 66.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.8N 70.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.8N 73.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 21.5N 80.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 23.5N 84.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 25.0N 87.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 58.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS |
