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#288825 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:37 PM 16.Aug.2009) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009 800 PM AST SUN AUG 16 2009 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED... AT 800 PM...0000 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR DOMINICA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO CABO BEATA AND FOR THE CARIBBEAN ISLANDS OF PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS... NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...ST. MARTIN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...GUADELOUPE...AND ST. BARTHELEMY. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.0 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...EAST OF DOMINICA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. ON THIS TRACK THE DEPRESSION WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND ENTER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT SHOWS THAT THE CIRCULATION OF ANA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED TODAY. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...ANA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE TONIGHT OR EARLY TOMORROW. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. ANA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...INCLUDING PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ...SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST INFORMATION... LOCATION...15.2N 60.0W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 25 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH |