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#288860 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 16.Aug.2009) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009 1100 PM AST SUN AUG 16 2009 ...ANA MOVING ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT... ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN... ST. MARTIN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...GUADELOUPE...ST. BARTHELEMY... AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO CABO BEATA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.2 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES... 40 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GUADELOUPE. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 26 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND APPROACH HISPANIOLA ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT ANA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE ON MONDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. ANA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST INFORMATION... LOCATION...16.0N 61.2W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 26 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BERG |