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| #288862 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 16.Aug.2009) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009 0300 UTC MON AUG 17 2009 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 41.7W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 45SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..250NE 180SE 110SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 41.7W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 40.8W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.1N 43.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.9N 46.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.8N 49.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.8N 51.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.7N 56.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 23.5N 61.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 28.1N 65.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 41.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH |
