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| #288915 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:02 AM 17.Aug.2009) TCMAT3 HURRICANE BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009 0900 UTC MON AUG 17 2009 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 44.0W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 5SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 45SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT.......125NE 120SE 60SW 125NW. 12 FT SEAS..250NE 180SE 110SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 44.0W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 43.4W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.4N 46.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 60SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.1N 49.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 75SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.0N 51.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 75SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.3N 54.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 90SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.5N 59.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 90SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 25.0N 63.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 30.1N 66.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 44.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN |
