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| #289339 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 18.Aug.2009) TCMAT3 HURRICANE BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009 0300 UTC WED AUG 19 2009 INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BILL. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 53.4W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 270SE 210SW 280NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 53.4W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 52.9W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.4N 55.4W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 75SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 100SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.0N 58.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 175SE 100SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.8N 60.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 175SE 100SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 23.8N 62.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 175SE 100SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...175NE 160SE 100SW 175NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 35.0N 68.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 42.0N 64.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 53.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH |
