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| #289378 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 AM 19.Aug.2009) TCMAT3 HURRICANE BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009 0900 UTC WED AUG 19 2009 INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BILL. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 54.9W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 270SE 180SW 280NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 54.9W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 54.2W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.0N 56.8W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 75SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 100SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.6N 59.4W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 175SE 100SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 22.5N 62.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 175SE 100SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 24.4N 64.4W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 175SE 100SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.5N 68.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 36.0N 68.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 44.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 54.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
