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| #28993 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:10 AM 29.Jun.2005) TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BRET DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT WED JUN 29 2005 SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT BRET HAS MOVED INLAND JUST SOUTH OF...OR VERY NEAR...TUXPAN. ALTHOUGH SATELLITE IMAGES STILL SHOW A WELL-ORGANIZED CLOUD PATTERN...WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED AND BRET IS BEING DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. THERE MIGHT BE SOME TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OVER WATER. BRET IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ABOUT 7 KNOTS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER FARTHER INLAND AND DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. THE CYCLONE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS PRIMARILY IN THE MOUNTAINS. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/1500Z 21.0N 97.6W 30 KT 12HR VT 30/0000Z 21.5N 98.5W 25 KT...INLAND DISSIPATING 24HR VT 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED |
