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#291818 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 28.Aug.2009) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052009 1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2009 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE... WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND AND THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 75.5W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..220NE 150SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 75.5W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 75.3W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 32.5N 75.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 36.2N 74.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 110SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 40.7N 70.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 110SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 44.6N 65.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 190SE 120SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 49.6N 52.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...240NE 300SE 180SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 52.5N 38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 54.5N 21.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 75.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |