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| #291897 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 28.Aug.2009) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052009 2100 UTC FRI AUG 28 2009 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE... WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA TONIGHT. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND AND THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 75.4W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 75SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 75.4W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 75.7W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.7N 75.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 150SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 37.3N 73.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 150SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 41.9N 68.2W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...130NE 180SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 46.5N 61.4W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 300SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 50.5N 49.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...240NE 360SE 180SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 53.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 55.0N 22.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N 75.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
