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| #292907 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 PM 01.Sep.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062009 1100 PM AST TUE SEP 01 2009 ...ERIKA MOVING VERY SLOWLY... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. MAARTEN... ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERIKA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.6 WEST OR ABOUT 365 MILES...585 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. ERIKA HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT IT SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR ON WEDNESDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES. ...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST INFORMATION... LOCATION...17.5N 57.6W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
