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| #293134 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:00 AM 03.Sep.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062009 200 AM AST THU SEP 03 2009 ...ERIKA REMAINS DISORGANIZED... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA... GUADELOUPE...ST. MARTIN...ST. BARTHELEMY...ANTIGUA... BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERIKA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.6 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...WEST OF GUADELOUPE AND ABOUT 275 MILES...445 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS MORNING AND APPROACH THE U. S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. OVER PUERTO RICO...3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. ...SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST INFORMATION... LOCATION...16.2N 62.6W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 5 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
