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| #293189 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:43 AM 03.Sep.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062009 800 AM AST THU SEP 03 2009 ...DISORGANIZED ERIKA CENTERED JUST SOUTHWEST OF ST. KITTS...MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA... GUADELOUPE...ST. MARTIN...ST. BARTHELEMY...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA... MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN... SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERIKA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.1 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...60 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ST. KITTS AND ABOUT 220 MILES...350 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS MORNING AND APPROACH THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. OVER PUERTO RICO...3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. ...SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST INFORMATION... LOCATION...16.9N 63.1W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
