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| #29791 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 PM 03.Jul.2005) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT SUN JUL 03 2005 ...THIRD DEPRESSION OF THE ATLANTIC SEASON FORMS IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA... INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED JUST TO THE EAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES... 125 KM... EAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 145 MILES... 235 KM...SOUTH OF COZUMEL MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER LAND. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND EXTREME WESTERN CUBA. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...18.4 N... 87.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH |
