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| #29830 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 PM 03.Jul.2005) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT SUN JUL 03 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE CONTINUES TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT NEARS THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ALLEN SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL... INCLUDING THE BANCO CHINCORRO ISLANDS. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ...AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES... 95 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 115 MILES... 190 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING ONSHORE THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA EARLY MONDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS LIKELY AFTER THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER LAND ON MONDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND EXTREME WESTERN CUBA. REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...18.9 N... 87.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER STEWART |
