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| #306026 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:58 PM 04.Nov.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 400 PM EST WED NOV 04 2009 ...THE NINTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS...HEADED TOWARD NICARAGUA.... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA AND FOR THE ISLANDS OF SAN ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 400 PM EST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAN ANDRES ISLAND AND ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...EAST OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA OVERNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE LATEST CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OVER SAN ANDRES ISLAND WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUD SLIDES. ...SUMMARY OF 400 PM EST INFORMATION... LOCATION...12.0N 82.7W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM EST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH |
