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| #306027 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:58 PM 04.Nov.2009) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 2100 UTC WED NOV 04 2009 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA AND FOR THE ISLANDS OF SAN ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 82.7W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 82.7W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 82.3W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 12.4N 83.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.0N 84.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 13.7N 84.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.5N 85.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.0N 85.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 18.0N 86.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 20.5N 86.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 82.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH |
