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| #306051 (Received by flhurricane at: 6:46 PM 04.Nov.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 700 PM EST WED NOV 04 2009 ...IDA A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT HEADS TOWARD NICARAGUA... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUFIELDS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA AND FOR THE ISLANDS OF SAN ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 700 PM EST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...100 KM...EAST OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA EARLY THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE...AND IDA COULD APPROACH HURRICANE INTENSITY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OVER SAN ANDRES ISLAND WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUD SLIDES. ...SUMMARY OF 700 PM EST INFORMATION... LOCATION...12.2N 82.9W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM EST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS |
