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| #306083 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:37 PM 04.Nov.2009) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 0300 UTC THU NOV 05 2009 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 10 PM EST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF SAN ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 83.1W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT....... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 83.1W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 82.8W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 12.9N 83.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.5N 84.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.3N 84.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.1N 84.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.0N 85.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 19.5N 85.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 21.5N 86.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 83.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS |
