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| #306162 (Received by flhurricane at: 6:58 AM 05.Nov.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE IDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 700 AM EST THU NOV 05 2009 ...IDA BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE COAST OF NICARAGUA... SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT IDA HAS STRENGTHENED TO A HURRICANE. AT 700 AM...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO PUERTO CABEZAS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM NORTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA BORDER NORTHWARD TO BLUEFIELDS AND FROM NORTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 700 AM EST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...100 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA AND ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA THIS MORNING AND MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS IDA MOVES INLAND OVER NICARAGUA TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OVER THE ISLANDS OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUD SLIDES. A STORM SURGE COULD RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA...WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IDA MAKES LANDFALL. WATER LEVELS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER TODAY. ...SUMMARY OF 700 AM EST INFORMATION... LOCATION...12.8N 83.4W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 AM EST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/BROWN/BLAKE |
