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| #306179 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:52 AM 05.Nov.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 1000 AM EST THU NOV 05 2009 ...IDA INLAND OVER EAST-CENTRAL NICARAGUA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO PUERTO CABEZAS. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO THE NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM NORTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTERESTS IN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.7 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES... 125 KM...NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA AND ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM ...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH LATE FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IDA WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS IDA MOVES INLAND OVER NICARAGUA TODAY AND TONIGHT. IDA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OVER THE ISLANDS OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUD SLIDES. A STORM SURGE COULD RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA...WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IDA MAKES LANDFALL. WATER LEVELS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER TODAY. ...SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST INFORMATION... LOCATION...13.1N 83.7W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 PM EST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/BLAKE |
