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| #306280 (Received by flhurricane at: 6:49 PM 05.Nov.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 700 PM EST THU NOV 05 2009 ...IDA NOW BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...HEAVY RAINFALL STILL THE PRIMARY CONCERN... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 700 PM EST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...85 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IDA WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO EMERGE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA EARLY SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...AND IDA WILL LIKELY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AFTER IDA EMERGES OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ALONG THE COASTS OF EASTERN HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA...AND THE ISLANDS OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. MAXIMUM RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER REGIONS OF ELEVATED TERRAIN IN HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ...SUMMARY OF 700 PM EST INFORMATION... LOCATION...13.5N 84.0W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM EST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS |
