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| #306351 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:37 AM 06.Nov.2009) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 0900 UTC FRI NOV 06 2009 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 84.1W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 84.1W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 84.0W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.2N 84.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.4N 84.4W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.4N 84.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.7N 85.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.5N 86.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 24.0N 87.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 27.0N 86.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 84.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN |
