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| #306484 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:52 PM 06.Nov.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 400 PM EST FRI NOV 06 2009 ...IDA EMERGES INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN... INTERESTS IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 400 PM EST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...110 KM...NORTHWEST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TOMORROW. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA SHOULD APPROACH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO LATE SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND IDA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SATURDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. THE RAINFALL THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH IDA IS DIMINISHING OVER CENTRAL AMERICA. IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER TOTALS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH IDA MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ON SATURDAY. ...SUMMARY OF 400 PM EST INFORMATION... LOCATION...15.7N 83.9W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM EST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
