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| #306602 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:37 AM 07.Nov.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 400 AM EST SAT NOV 07 2009 ...IDA STRENGTHENING...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND WESTERN CUBA... AT 4 AM EST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO SAN FELIPE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 4 AM EST...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 400 AM EST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES...215 KM...NORTHEAST OF LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 300 MILES... 480 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA WILL BE APPROACHING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. THE RAINFALL THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH IDA IS DIMINISHING OVER NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS...WHERE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ...SUMMARY OF 400 AM EST INFORMATION... LOCATION...17.1N 84.1W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 AM EST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
