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| #306668 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:58 AM 07.Nov.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 1000 AM EST SAT NOV 07 2009 ...IDA STRENGTHENING OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED... AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND. AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO SAN FELIPE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ALSO ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST OR ABOUT 255 MILES...410 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO AND ABOUT 270 MILES... 430 KM...SOUTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER OR JUST EAST OF THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ON SUNDAY. IDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SUNDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND IDA COULD APPROACH HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER IDA ENTERS THE GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND WESTERN CUBA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ...SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST INFORMATION... LOCATION...17.9N 84.1W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 9 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 PM EST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI/BLAKE |
